Yang Xuexiang published: For the time-12-22 16:20:55 Guangming Wang - a bright observation
Excerpt:
First, in 2008 El Nino and La Nina is the conversion of the Year
According to the El Nino events and the tides for 11 years and 22-year cycle, in 2008 the 11-year cycle for the series: 1997 (strong El Nino years, the strong El Nino in 1998 for strengthening La Nina), 1986 (El Nino), 1975 (La Nina , In 1876 as El Nino), 1964 (La Nina, El Nino years of 1965 to
), 1953 (El Nino, La Nina was in 1954), 1942 (El Nino to La Nina), 1931 (El Nino), in 1920, 1909 (strong La Nina), 1898 (La Nina, 1899 La Nina is strengthening El Nino), 1887 (La Nina). In 2008 there is a high occurrence probability of El Nino or La Nina.
If the La Nina intensity increased and sustained for more than a year and a half of the El Nino or La Nina event likely to continue in cold or warm-year duration, 1998-1999, for example-2000 years of strong La Nina event which lasted for two years, so that should have happened in 2000 Strong El Nino events occur until 2002. As a result, the next El Nino events could delay the October 2008 or longer, depending on the strength of La Nina.
Comment: The August 2007 incident occurred in La Nina, in February 2008 peak, in the second half of 2008 in a neutral state.
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V. 2008 influenza pandemic is a great possibility that
BEIJING, Dec. 22, according to Xinhua China Central Television, according to meteorologists have predicted that the current observations, in 2008 is very likely a major influenza. According to reports, for 1890 to 2004, weather data, can be observed in the influenza pandemic of six years of climate characteristics. Meteorologists have predicted that the current observations, in 2008 is very likely a major influenza. The medical scientists were from the epidemiological point of view put forward the same warning. From 2003 to date, the influenza pandemic of the potential risks getting higher and higher. In particular, is the only bird flu each year, there is the expansion of the global trend. In 2008, the outbreak of influenza may be looming [20].
In 1890-2004 an integrated data, we can get a flu pandemic 6 of climate characteristics: Madre at its borders during the cold phase; a year ago or two years for the moderate La Nina years or more; 50-70 during the 20th century At the same time as a strong dust storm in China; that year or the year before and after China's cold in the Northeast in the summer (50-70 during the 20th century at the same time as a serious chilling damage); time for the moderate El Nino over the years; for the year sunspot-year-m or In Feng M, m-1-year, m +1 or M +1 years. In 1889-1890, 1900 ,1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 and 1977 bird flu outbreak are to meet this great 6, at the same time, in 1890, to meet these conditions, only 6 6 times more than the outbreak of the [2,21-23]. No. 7 is a feature of the year for winter or summer, strong north-south tidal concussion sustained anomaly in the number of days. After three influenza outbreak in the world to meet all the features.
2006,2008,2011,2015,2018-2019 El Nino years, it is possible, in 2007 ,2013-2014 ,2016-2017 was possible La Nina years, 2007,2011,2018,2022 years of sunspots is very likely In value. These years to strengthen the earthquake and bird flu prevention and monitoring is very important. If 2007 was the year sunspot Valley m, 2007-year forecast for La Nina years, 2008 is m +1, El Nino is forecast to be in [2], for the 2008 Summer concussion sustained strong north-south tidal anomalies in the number of days (44 days) , Madre in the cold phase of El Nino-year period (2000-2030 years) and the extreme-year sunspot-prone chilling damage. In this way, in 2008 on a high probability of the occurrence of influenza outbreak. 2007-2008 is whether the strong El Nino and La Nina strong mutual conversion is whether or not the outbreak of bird flu key. In 2007 the La Nina phenomenon and its accompanying strong sandstorm, for the 2007-2008 breeding bird flu outbreak and increases the probability of occurrence. 2007 February-June period as the strong tides, is expected to be the end of the weak El Nino, La Nina will be strong. Drake Passage of the increase in sea ice is a precursor of the La Nina phenomenon, the cold phase of the Madre strong La Nina is a precursor to the outbreak of the flu.
In 2008, 2011, in 2018 it is possible outbreak of influenza in 【2】.
Comment: Since the 2008 El Nino events have not occurred, the influenza outbreak may be delayed to the maximum sunspot year in 2011, Yen strength will be great. In the 2009-2011 El Nino and La Nina events value.
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