Taiwan 38000 dye has one cases of severe new strain of influenza

2009.08.26 03:00:12 am

Epidemic announced yesterday, the central command center, in June to now, China has almost 38000 people are infected with a new influenza, yesterday added one case of severe, the existing 44 cases of severe, in which five people were killed, China has officially entered a new influenza pandemic period, disease prevention goal is to delay the epidemic peak.

Dosing If you do not implement the fear of half of the people have been infected with

Most scholars believe that the new world will be during the influenza pandemic You Sancheng population is infected, according to the international community the current mortality rate per thousand to four projections, China's death toll feared up to 14000-28000 people.

Chen Chien-jen estimates of the Academia Sinica, if appropriate, and actively vote antiviral drugs Tamiflu disease prevention measures are successful, will suppress the growth of cases, mortality can be reduced to one-thousandth of the number of deaths dropped to six or seven thousand people.

CDC estimates the current per week 12000 new cases of influenza. Chen Chien-jen said the cluster was found infected with the fast-infected people to vote for all drugs, can reduce infection in patients with severe risks and opportunities of others, well, then every case of growth can be suppressed to one. Five times, it is estimated in November will be just over one million people are infected, the smooth convergence of vaccination.

If the dosage policies can be implemented, the number of new cases per week will be twice the speed of fear that grow in November when the cumulative number of infections fear of breaking 10 million, while up to half of the population has been infected, on behalf of epidemic period ended, they are caused by medical care system unable to cope with the heavy casualties, the vaccine also is no longer useless.

School a month later the doctor: the epidemic will be the top attack

National Taiwan University Hospital, Professor Huang Limin, director of pediatric infection that appears from the present situation, the epidemic is likely to school a month later, in October will "attack the top." National Cheng Kung University professor of pathology Ih-Jen Su that, there are already community-infection, usually from the beginning to the peak of about one to two months, by the end of October to mid-November, the new flu outbreak would be more severe. CDC Secretary Hsu-Sung Kuo are estimates, the November to January is the peak of the epidemic, when the number of hospital patients will increase by three to five times.