06 November 2012
SHIVERS Study 2012: Overview of preliminary findings
SHIVERS InfographicHigh numbers of people hospitalised with
respiratory illness tested positive for infection with influenza
viruses.
Children under four hardest hit with highest rate of influenza
hospitalisation.
High rates of influenza hospitalisations in people older than 80
years were identified.
Pacific Island and Maori populations had highest rate of
hospitalisation from influenza (by ethnic group).
In Auckland, swine flu pandemic A(H1N1) viruses predominated during
June and July and then A(H3N2) viruses predominated during August
and September.
A(H3N2) viruses were predominant across the rest of New Zealand
from June through to September.
If the Northern Hemisphere follows the same pattern found during
the 2012 NZ winter with A(H3N2) viruses predominating, then
influenza hospitalisation rates, particularly for the very old and
very young, may be substantial.
These findings support the boosting of vaccination rates in the
community to protect those most vulnerable to the effects of
influenza.
The influenza viruses circulating in New Zealand changed throughout
the winter period (April to September 2012) and new vaccine strains
have been selected to better match currently circulating
viruses.
There were substantial numbers of people hospitalised with severe
acute respiratory infections caused by other respiratory
viruses.
Preliminary findings from the first full year of a multi-million
dollar five-year international flu study led by ESR in New Zealand
have shown more people are hospitalised with severe acute
respiratory infections (SARI) caused by influenza viruses than
previously thought.
The Southern Hemisphere Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Research
and Surveillance (SHIVERS) study is investigating five autumn and
winter 'flu seasons' amongst the Auckland population. The study is
a multi-centre collaboration between ESR, Auckland District Health
Board (ADHB), Counties Manukau District Health Board (CMDHB),
University of Otago, University of Auckland, the US Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the WHO Influenza
Collaborating Centre at St Jude Children's Hospital in Memphis,
USA.
The SHIVERS team is building on New Zealand's world leading
influenza surveillance systems, which track viruses in real time
using data from hospitals and general practitioners (GPs) working
in the community.
Over the 2012 New Zealand winter, flu experts led by the SHIVERS
Principal Investigator, Dr Sue Huang from ESR, have tracked the
ever-changing viruses through patients admitted to ADHB and CMDHB
hospitals with influenza-related SARI.
The rate of influenza hospitalisations during the 2012 flu season
was the fourth highest recorded over the past twelve years,
with children under four years and the elderly being the hardest
hit.
From 30 April 2012 to 2 September 2012 a total of 1,370 SARI cases
was recorded, including 38 intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and
seven deaths. Infants aged younger than one year had the highest
influenza hospitalisation rate of 228.7 per 100,000 age group
population. This was followed by people aged 80 and older (128.6
per 100,000), people aged 65-79 years (81.1 per 100,000) and
children aged one to four years (54.9 per 100 000).
Dr Sue Huang said although the findings are preliminary,
discovering an increased burden from influenza viruses than
previously thought shows the need for countries to work together on
the best ways to prevent and manage influenza.
"Influenza causes more illness each year than any other
vaccine-preventable illness. This study highlights the importance
of tracking the viruses which cause influenza across the population
so we can better protect against them through the right vaccines,
prevent their spread and care for those who do get the
flu."
One of the areas being looked at by the SHIVERS team is the
effectiveness of the flu vaccine. Dr Nikki Turner, Director of the
Immunisation Advisory Centre (IMAC), University of Auckland, says
this year the study looked at the effectiveness of the vaccine in
preventing hospitalisation from flu. "To date, the data is
incomplete, so we do not as yet have a very accurate measure for
the effectiveness of the vaccine. However, we will continue
to collect data over the next four years.
"In the next year of the SHIVERS study we will also look at
patients with influenza presenting to general practice. This means
that in future years the study will be able to measure how
effective the vaccine is in preventing flu related GP consultations
and hospitalisations."
Dr Adrian Trenholme, a paediatrician at Middlemore Hospital says
that young children aged less than four years are hit
hardest by influenza viruses, so getting a flu shot is important to
protect them.
"The SHIVERS study has shown a previously under-recognised burden
of non-influenza respiratory viruses causing substantial
hospitalisations, particularly in young children."
Dr Sally Roberts, Clinical Head of Microbiology at Auckland City
Hospital says that SARI surveillance also showed that the most
prevalent influenza viruses identified among patients in Auckland
this year were different from the rest of the country.
"During June and July, the swine flu pandemic A(H1N1) viruses were
predominant in Auckland, but then there was a switch to A(H3N2)
predominance in August and September. Whereas, A(H3N2) viruses
predominated throughout the winter season for the rest of New
Zealand."
The virus strains used for the influenza vaccine have been updated
to match what is forecast to be circulating during 2013. This is
based on the World Health Organisation's recommendation which has
been accepted by Southern Hemisphere Countries, including New
Zealand. The vaccine virus strains are:
A/California/7/2009 (H1N1)-like virus
A/Victoria/361/2011 (H3N2)-like virus
B/Wisconsin/1/2010-like virus.
The New Zealand flu experts involved in the SHIVERS study are
briefing their international colleagues from the CDC and St Jude
Children's Research Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee, over the next
two days in Auckland.
Continued:
http://www.nzdoctor.co.nz/un-doctored/2012/november-2012/06/nz-flu-study-finds-influenza-viruses-put-more-people-in-hospital-than-was-previously-thought.aspx
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